The American Black Duck is an important waterfowl species in
the Chesapeake Bay Watershed and is considered to be a representative of other
wildlife that depend on wetlands, especially tidal marshes. This draft product
depicts relative priorities for restoration and protection of habitat for black
duck among small watersheds (subwatersheds) within the Chesapeake Bay Watershed.
The prioritization is based on an analysis of the availability of food energy (calories)
for black ducks wintering within the watershed. Subwatersheds with the greatest
surplus of food energy are considered to be the highest priority for actions to
protect existing habitat for black ducks. Subwatersheds with the greatest
deficits of food energy are considered to be the highest priority for
restoration of wetland habitat so that it is better able to support black ducks
and other wildlife. Where habitat is deficient, the dataset also identifies the
number of additional acres of habitat that must be restored or enhanced to meet
black duck restoration goals.
These results are based on recent habitat conditions (circa 2010). Also in development are results reflecting future habitat changes as affected by potential sea level rise and human development (2030 and 2080 scenarios).
Intended Uses
This product is intended to serve as a preliminary
screening tool to identify subwatersheds that may be promising areas for
restoration and protection of black duck habitat. Before undertaking
conservation actions, local factors should be considered including availability
and quality of wetland habitat, the degree of existing protection, potential
methods and costs of wetland restoration, and potential for long-term
resilience of habitat in the face of rising sea levels and development
pressures.
Description and
Derivation
The food energy analysis represents a balance between two
factors, energy supply and energy demand:
1) Energy supply:
calculated from the extent of black duck wetland habitat in the subwatershed,
with energy availability depending on the type and condition of the wetlands
present.
2) Energy demand: the
amount of energy that could be expected to be consumed by black ducks, while also accounting for presence of other dabbling duck species that compete for the same types of foods in the subwatershed. Estimates are based on the assumption that duck abundance is restored in accordance with the North
American Waterfowl Management Plan objectives.
Where the energy supply exceeds the energy demand, the
subwatershed can be considered to have surplus energy available. When energy
demand exceeds the energy supply, the subwatershed can be considered to have an
energy deficit.
Results are displayed in “bins” or quantiles with each
bin representing 20% of the subwatersheds. The 20% of the subwatersheds with
the greatest food energy surplus are classified as “Highest” priority for
protection, and so on, with the 20% of subwatersheds with the least surplus
classified as “Lowest” priority. Similarly, the 20% of subwatersheds with the
greatest energy deficit are classified as “Highest” priority for restoration or
enhancement of habitat.
Known Issues and Limitations
As with any project carried out across such a large area, this is subject to limitations. The results by themselves are not a prescription for on-the-ground action; users are encouraged to verify, with field visits and site-specific knowledge, the value of any areas identified in the project. Known issues and uncertainties include the following:
- Stepped-down population objectives for dabbling ducks are based on county-level harvest information. Resulting subwatershed objectives were obtained by assigning county-level objectives by proportional amount of wetlands in the subwatersheds.
- Uncertainties and variabilities in the energy demand of individual ducks and the length of time spent by ducks in wintering habitat (estimated from eBird data) mean that there are uncertainties in the precise energy demands within watersheds.
- There may be errors in the mapping of wetlands used to identify potential black duck wintering habitat.
- Energy estimates are based on 10 years of spatially-replicated studies of the energy produced by various wetland types; the variability in these values are currently not accounted for in this dataset.